Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Chimere Dike

TEN

WR81 · overall #225 · tier 10 · age 24

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Projected points

77

5.1/gm

Value over replacement

-31

repl 115

Range

9–145

sd 68

Week

5.0

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.9
Carries / game
0.5
Receptions / game
2.4
Rec yards / game
26
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.4
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.3
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.43
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYJ,PHI,NYG
Window matchup
-0.40
Opponents after
BAL,HOU,IND
After matchup
-0.34
Flip edge
-0.06
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.12

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

104.1

Per game

6.12

17-gm pace

104

Best / worst

18.9 / -0.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.9100019
21.852-1029
32.0432023
4-0.400001-4
52.75217000
61.8328000
714.9447011-1
812.98793011
97.0315000
112.43214000
1218.97544100
131.4418011
1410.98524100
153.0541701-7
1611.55340100
178.25455017
184.24327000