Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Chig Okonkwo

WAS

TE20 · overall #163 · tier 6 · age 26

← back to rankings

Projected points

99

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 111

Range

69–128

sd 30

Week

5.7

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.2
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.7
Rec yards / game
36
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.16
Total TD / game
0.16
Games projected
15.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.9
Games of history
66
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.83
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.20
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
15
Effective contributors
1.93
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PHI,DAL,SEA
Window matchup
-0.46
Opponents after
IND,NYG,SF
After matchup
+0.16
Flip edge
-0.62
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.59

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

68.0

Per game

4.00

17-gm pace

68

Best / worst

11.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.943190
23.564350
36.665660
40.43140
54.854480
64.666460
70.02000
85.354530
91.022100
115.633560
124.043400
132.954290
142.022200
153.364330
1610.486441
1711.573551
180.25220