Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Cedric Tillman

NO

WR95 · overall #231 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

70

5.4/gm

Value over replacement

-26

repl 119

Range

17–123

sd 53

Week

2.0

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.3
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.5
Rec yards / game
31
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.17
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.8
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.72
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.48
Flip edge
-0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

49.5

Per game

4.13

17-gm pace

70

Best / worst

13.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
113.7WR168552100
29.2WR427222100
34.1WR643326000
41.1WR106216000
102.1WR774211000
116.7WR404352000
121.0WR91315000
130.0WR108100000
142.8WR683123000
161.3WR103118000
174.7WR551142000
182.8WR692123000