Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Case Keenum

CHI

QB74 · overall #627 · tier – · age 38

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Projected points

37

3.9/gm

Value over replacement

-113

repl 250

Range

9–65

sd 28

Week

7.8

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
125
Pass yards
929
Pass TD
5.7
Carries
5
Rush yards
41
Rush TD
0.1
Games projected
9.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.8
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
0.920
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.61
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.22
Flip edge
+0.40
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.41

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Case Keenum — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.