QB
Carson Wentz
MINQB38 · overall #404 · tier 8 · age 33
Projected points
70
8.7/gm
Value over replacement
-55
repl 250
Range
33–106
sd 36
Week
4.5
vs MIA
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 23.3
- Pass yards / game
- 166
- Pass TD / game
- 1.02
- Carries / game
- 1.6
- Rush yards / game
- 7
- Rush TD / game
- 0.05
- Games projected
- 8.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.3
- Games of history
- 16
- Age multiplier
- 0.958
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.1
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.05
- OL pass protection
- +0.10
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 27%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.76
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIA,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.64
- Opponents after
- IND,DET,BUF
- After matchup
- +0.27
- Flip edge
- +0.37
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +1.05
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
5
Points
70.3
Per game
14.07
17-gm pace
239
Best / worst
21.2 / 7.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 15.3 | QB12 | 14 | 20 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | 21.2 | QB9 | 30 | 46 | 350 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 5 | 14.7 | QB22 | 25 | 34 | 236 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 11.3 | QB18 | 26 | 42 | 313 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 8 | 7.8 | QB21 | 15 | 27 | 144 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |