Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Carsen Ryan

CLEROOKIE R7

TE144 · overall #620 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

4

0.3/gm

Value over replacement

-100

repl 112

Range

0–22

sd 18

Week

0.1

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
3
Carries
0
Receptions
2
Rec yards
20
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.1
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.07
Top player's share
63%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.88

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.40
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.61

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Carsen Ryan — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.