QB
Cam Ward
TENQB25 · overall #205 · tier 6 · age 24
Projected points
220
14.6/gm
Value over replacement
-16
repl 250
Range
182–258
sd 38
Week
11.8
@ BAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 33.1
- Pass yards / game
- 218
- Pass TD / game
- 1.34
- Carries / game
- 2.8
- Rush yards / game
- 11
- Rush TD / game
- 0.11
- Games projected
- 15.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 11.0
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.29
- OL pass protection
- -1.25
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.16
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BAL,HOU,IND
- Window matchup
- -0.90
- Opponents after
- CLE,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.51
- Flip edge
- -0.39
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.31
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
186.7
Per game
10.98
17-gm pace
187
Best / worst
23.9 / 2.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.5 | QB32 | 12 | 28 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.8 | QB27 | 19 | 33 | 175 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | QB22 | 23 | 38 | 219 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 4.5 | QB32 | 10 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 5 | 8.0 | QB26 | 21 | 39 | 265 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 0 |
| 6 | 6.9 | QB27 | 26 | 38 | 222 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 10.2 | QB23 | 25 | 34 | 255 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 12.8 | QB17 | 22 | 38 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.4 | QB26 | 12 | 21 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.1 | QB16 | 24 | 37 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 | 23.9 | QB4 | 28 | 42 | 256 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 1 |
| 13 | 6.3 | QB28 | 24 | 38 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.1 | QB19 | 14 | 28 | 117 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | 15.0 | QB20 | 18 | 29 | 170 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 18.0 | QB12 | 21 | 28 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 17.0 | QB13 | 21 | 40 | 251 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.2 | QB21 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |