WR
Calvin Ridley
TENWR84 · overall #196 · tier 9 · age 31
Projected points
86
6.6/gm
Value over replacement
-11
repl 119
Range
6–167
sd 80
Week
3.5
@ BAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 66
- Carries
- 5
- Receptions
- 38
- Rec yards
- 493
- Rush yards
- 22
- Rush TD
- 0.2
- Rec TD
- 3.0
- Total TD
- 3.2
- Games projected
- 13.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.2
- Games of history
- 41
- Age multiplier
- 0.813
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.29
- OL pass protection
- -1.25
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.16
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 4.85
- Top player's share
- 30%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BAL,HOU,IND
- Window matchup
- -0.58
- Opponents after
- CLE,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.48
- Flip edge
- -0.10
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.13
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
7
Points
30.3
Per game
4.33
17-gm pace
74
Best / worst
13.1 / 1.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.7 | WR69 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.7 | WR52 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.7 | WR68 | 7 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3.0 | WR60 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 13.1 | WR11 | 10 | 5 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.8 | WR76 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.3 | WR80 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |