Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Calvin Austin III

NYG

WR68 · overall #158 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

13

5.7/gm

Value over replacement

-4

repl 119

Range

0–59

sd 46

Week

0.0

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.0
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.4
Rec yards / game
31
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.23
Games projected
2.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.0
Games of history
47
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.48
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.88
Flip edge
+1.36
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.85

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

70.7

Per game

5.05

17-gm pace

86

Best / worst

15.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
115.0WR126470100
22.7WR934122000
310.9WR285334100
42.3WR852213000
84.8WR566428000
98.1WR396556000
102.4WR707214000
111.0WR100115000
125.6WR425436000
130.0WR108200000
143.6WR592131000
150.0WR104100000
161.3WR103118000
1813.0WR137355100