Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Caleb Douglas

MIAROOKIE R3

WR92 · overall #271 · tier

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Projected points

67

4.5/gm

Value over replacement

-40

repl 115

Range

48–85

sd 19

Week

3.8

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.1
Rec yards / game
28
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.16
Total TD / game
0.16
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.25
OL pass protection
-0.63
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LV,SF,KC
Window matchup
-1.26
Opponents after
MIN,CIN
After matchup
-1.10
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.84

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Caleb Douglas — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.