Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Caleb Douglas

MIAROOKIE R3

WR100 · overall #238 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

51

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-28

repl 119

Range

29–74

sd 22

Week

2.0

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.5
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
31
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.17
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-1.52
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.40
Flip edge
-1.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Caleb Douglas — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.