RB
Bucky Irving
TBRB17 · overall #17 · tier 4 · age 23
Projected points
193
14.6/gm
Value over replacement
103
repl 110
Range
150–236
sd 43
Week
12.8
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.9
- Carries / game
- 17.0
- Receptions / game
- 3.2
- Rec yards / game
- 26
- Rush yards / game
- 74
- Rush TD / game
- 0.36
- Rec TD / game
- 0.10
- Total TD / game
- 0.47
- Games projected
- 13.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.2
- Games of history
- 27
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.88
- OL pass protection
- +1.32
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.57
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 62
- Effective contributors
- 2.89
- Top player's share
- 43%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.77
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CIN,CLE,MIN
- Window matchup
- +0.01
- Opponents after
- GB,DAL,PIT
- After matchup
- +0.20
- Flip edge
- -0.20
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.28
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
108.5
Per game
10.85
17-gm pace
184
Best / worst
20.5 / 3.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.5 | 14 | 37 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 2 | 12.1 | 17 | 71 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 0 |
| 3 | 9.9 | 25 | 66 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 0 |
| 4 | 20.5 | 15 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
| 13 | 14.1 | 17 | 61 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 | 14.1 | 15 | 55 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| 15 | 7.1 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | 7.1 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.3 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.8 | 26 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 |