WR
Bryce Lance
NOROOKIE R4WR224 · overall #517 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
38
2.5/gm
Value over replacement
-73
repl 119
Range
20–56
sd 18
Week
2.6
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 25
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 16
- Rec yards
- 220
- Rush yards
- 2
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.3
- Total TD
- 1.3
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- –
- Games of history
- 0
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.21
- OL pass protection
- +0.11
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.72
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.02
- Opponents after
- PIT,CLE
- After matchup
- +0.48
- Flip edge
- -0.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.25
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Bryce Lance — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.