Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Brock Wright

DET

TE59 · overall #339 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

51

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-45

repl 112

Range

23–79

sd 28

Week

2.1

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.3
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
1.7
Rec yards / game
16
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.20
Total TD / game
0.20
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.9
Games of history
42
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
60
Effective contributors
2.79
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.95
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.07
Flip edge
+0.87
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.16

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

8

Points

22.8

Per game

2.85

17-gm pace

48

Best / worst

8.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
28.8TE433281
40.0TE540000
56.9TE173291
72.3TE3133230
91.1TE4511110
100.0TE541000
110.8TE447280
122.9TE2243290