TE
Brock Bowers
LVTE2 · overall #39 · tier 1 · age 23
Projected points
142
12.3/gm
Value over replacement
62
repl 112
Range
77–208
sd 65
Week
10.6
vs KC
The take
written by hand
8.9 targets a game from a 23-year-old tight end. He finished TE9 last year, and the range on him is the widest of anyone up here — floor 105, ceiling 235.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 9.0
- Carries / game
- 0.2
- Receptions / game
- 6.5
- Rec yards / game
- 65
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.42
- Total TD / game
- 0.42
- Games projected
- 11.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 15.1
- Games of history
- 29
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.08
- OL pass protection
- -0.32
- OL continuity
- 50%
- 2TE rate
- 42%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- +0.59
- Scheme creativity
- -0.05
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 92
- Effective contributors
- 2.41
- Top player's share
- 55%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.04
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- KC,NE,BUF
- Window matchup
- -0.43
- Opponents after
- LA,NYJ,SF
- After matchup
- -0.33
- Flip edge
- -0.11
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.37
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
12
Points
112.2
Per game
9.35
17-gm pace
159
Best / worst
31.3 / 2.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.3 | TE3 | 8 | 5 | 103 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.8 | TE18 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.8 | TE16 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 0 |
| 4 | 4.6 | TE18 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 0 |
| 9 | 31.3 | TE1 | 13 | 12 | 127 | 3 |
| 10 | 2.7 | TE27 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 | 7.2 | TE7 | 12 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
| 12 | 5.5 | TE12 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 | 18.3 | TE1 | 4 | 4 | 63 | 2 |
| 14 | 10.6 | TE5 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 1 |
| 15 | 2.8 | TE27 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 | 9.3 | TE11 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 1 |