Brevyn Spann-Ford

DAL

TE123 · overall #540 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-77

repl 112

Range

17–42

sd 13

Week

1.7

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.5
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 1.1
Rec yards / game: 10
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.06
Total TD / game: 0.06
Games projected: 15.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.6
Games of history: 27
Age multiplier: 1.030
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 31.0
Projected plays / game: 64.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.24
OL pass protection: +0.09
OL continuity: 86%
2TE rate: 20%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.93
Scheme creativity: -0.33
Play action / motion: 22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 7
Effective contributors: 1.72
Top player's share: 74%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup: +0.18
Opponents after: PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup: +0.33
Flip edge: -0.14
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

15.0

Per game

0.94

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	TE61	1	0	0	0
2	0.3	TE55	1	1	3	0
3	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
6	0.2	TE53	1	1	2	0
7	0.0	TE53	0	0	0	0
8	0.9	TE40	1	1	9	0
9	0.0	TE54	0	0	0	0
11	0.4	TE49	1	1	4	0
12	6.4	TE10	1	1	4	1
13	0.0	TE61	0	0	0	0
14	0.7	TE50	1	1	7	0
15	0.0	TE59	1	0	0	0
16	0.0	TE64	0	0	0	0
17	3.1	TE24	2	1	31	0
18	3.0	TE27	3	2	30	0