Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Brenen Thompson

LACROOKIE R4

WR152 · overall #507 · tier

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Projected points

39

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-68

repl 115

Range

21–57

sd 18

Week

2.9

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
26
Carries
0
Receptions
17
Rec yards
225
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.4
Total TD
1.4
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.89
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+0.74
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.93
Flip edge
+1.67
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Brenen Thompson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.