Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Brenden Bates

JAX

TE87 · overall #449 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

14

1.3/gm

Value over replacement

-62

repl 112

Range

2–25

sd 11

Week

0.4

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.0
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.03
Games projected
10.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.6
Games of history
6
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
46
Effective contributors
2.55
Top player's share
57%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.02
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.46
Flip edge
+0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.26

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

6.8

Per game

1.36

17-gm pace

23

Best / worst

3.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
53.3TE3222230
150.0TE590000
160.0TE641000
172.4TE4011190
181.1TE521160