Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Brandon Johnson

PIT

WR135 · overall #311 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

38

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 119

Range

0–87

sd 49

Week

1.0

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.4
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
18
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.18
Total TD / game
0.18
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.9
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Brandon Johnson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.