Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Braelon Allen

NYJ

RB57 · overall #161 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

72

6.2/gm

Value over replacement

-7

repl 110

Range

50–94

sd 22

Week

4.1

@ TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.8
Carries / game
8.0
Receptions / game
1.3
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
31
Rush TD / game
0.19
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.7
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.25
OL pass protection
-0.19
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.44
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TEN,GB,DET
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
CHI,CLE,NE
After matchup
-0.50
Flip edge
-0.31
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.19

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

14.3

Per game

3.57

17-gm pace

61

Best / worst

6.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.96910000
21.121101000
35.7630022170
40.642600000