Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Ben Skowronek

PIT

WR245 · overall #578 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

16

1.2/gm

Value over replacement

-86

repl 119

Range

0–56

sd 41

Week

3.0

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.7
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.03
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
13.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.6
Games of history
52
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

12.9

Per game

0.81

17-gm pace

14

Best / worst

8.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
18.2WR261122100
20.0WR119000000
30.0WR120000000
40.0WR110100000
60.0WR99000000
70.0WR101000000
81.3WR771113000
90.0WR96000000
100.0WR93000000
110.0WR104000000
122.1WR661121000
130.0WR108100000
141.3WR781113000
150.0WR104000000
160.0WR118000000
180.0WR108000000