Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Ben Sims

MIA

TE99 · overall #485 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

21

1.7/gm

Value over replacement

-67

repl 112

Range

0–49

sd 28

Week

0.4

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.3
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.0
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.63
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-0.65
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.20
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.73

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

3

Points

3.0

Per game

1.00

17-gm pace

17

Best / worst

1.8 / 0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
140.9TE431190
170.3TE541130
181.8TE3641180