Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Bam Knight

ARI

RB66 · overall #220 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

55

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-21

repl 116

Range

13–96

sd 42

Week

2.0

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.7
Carries / game
4.7
Receptions / game
2.0
Rec yards / game
15
Rush yards / game
18
Rush TD / game
0.13
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
10.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.9
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.46
Top player's share
32%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.25
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.36
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

12

Points

92.9

Per game

7.74

17-gm pace

132

Best / worst

16.8 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0RB750000000
40.0RB740000000
59.4RB28411111130
612.4RB151134121200
79.4RB23145704370
96.7RB34927022200
104.3RB44102804150
1114.5RB18524144210
1213.2RB161012154200
1316.8RB141162033361
146.4RB40716063180
15-0.2RB931-200000