Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Bailey Zappe

NYJ

QB68 · overall #618 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

45

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-100

repl 250

Range

9–82

sd 36

Week

1.1

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
140
Pass yards
985
Pass TD
6.1
Carries
7
Rush yards
45
Rush TD
0.3
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
-0.28
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.04
Flip edge
-0.32
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.31

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Bailey Zappe — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.