Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Audric Estimé

NO

RB40 · overall #129 · tier 8 · age 23

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Projected points

81

7.6/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 116

Range

48–113

sd 32

Week

2.3

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.2
Carries / game
9.7
Receptions / game
1.8
Rec yards / game
13
Rush yards / game
39
Rush TD / game
0.24
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.25
Games projected
10.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.4
Games of history
18
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.59
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.51
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

42.1

Per game

8.42

17-gm pace

143

Best / worst

16.3 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
141.1RB6031100000
156.5RB38311033390
165.1RB47519043170
1716.3RB10149411140
1813.1RB132163055430