Ashton Dulin

IND

WR181 · overall #425 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

1.4/gm

Value over replacement

-57

repl 119

Range

0–42

sd 29

Week

0.3

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 0.8
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 0.5
Rec yards / game: 8
Rush yards / game: 2
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.04
Total TD / game: 0.04
Games projected: 9.5
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.8
Games of history: 35
Age multiplier: 0.876
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.7
Projected plays / game: 61.8
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.69
OL pass protection: +0.76
OL continuity: 81%
2TE rate: 35%
3WR rate: 65%
1st-down pass rate: 48%
Run friendly: +0.12
Scheme creativity: +0.53
Play action / motion: 31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.54
Top player's share: 36%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup: +0.69
Opponents after: MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup: +0.26
Flip edge: +0.43
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.35

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

15.0

Per game

1.25

17-gm pace

Best / worst

5.5 / -0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
1	1.5	WR86	0	0	0	1	15
2	0.0	WR119	0	0	0	0	0
3	0.0	WR120	0	0	0	0	0
4	1.8	WR81	1	1	11	1	7
5	5.5	WR46	5	2	55	0	0
6	0.0	WR99	0	0	0	0	0
8	-0.8	WR119	1	1	-8	0	0
9	0.0	WR96	0	0	0	0	0
10	2.2	WR64	0	0	0	1	22
12	4.8	WR42	1	1	48	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	0	0	0	0	0
18	0.0	WR108	2	0	0	0	0