Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Anthony Smith

DALROOKIE R7

WR280 · overall #653 · tier

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Projected points

5

0.3/gm

Value over replacement

-102

repl 115

Range

0–23

sd 18

Week

0.3

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.1
Rec yards / game
2
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.01
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.16
OL pass protection
+0.01
OL continuity
92%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.34
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.92
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYG,WAS,BAL
Window matchup
+0.75
Opponents after
HOU,TB,GB
After matchup
-0.19
Flip edge
+0.93
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.36

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Anthony Smith — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.