Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Andy Dalton

PHI

QB51 · overall #553 · tier – · age 38

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Projected points

60

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-80

repl 250

Range

14–107

sd 47

Week

2.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
167
Pass yards
1233
Pass TD
7.4
Carries
9
Rush yards
39
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
9.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.2
Games of history
26
Age multiplier
0.920
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
-0.17
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+1.22
Flip edge
-1.39
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.28

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

9.5

Per game

2.38

17-gm pace

40

Best / worst

6.3 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
3-0.1QB40000001-10
46.3QB30565810000
72.2QB314760002-20
81.1QB28162417501210