Andrew Ogletree

IND

TE122 · overall #539 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

1.6/gm

Value over replacement

-77

repl 112

Range

7–39

sd 16

Week

0.7

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.1
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 0.7
Rec yards / game: 8
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.08
Total TD / game: 0.08
Games projected: 14.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.9
Games of history: 34
Age multiplier: 0.956
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.7
Projected plays / game: 61.8
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.69
OL pass protection: +0.76
OL continuity: 81%
2TE rate: 35%
3WR rate: 65%
1st-down pass rate: 48%
Run friendly: +0.12
Scheme creativity: +0.53
Play action / motion: 31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 4
Effective contributors: 1.49
Top player's share: 81%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.17

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup: +0.80
Opponents after: MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup: +0.14
Flip edge: +0.66
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.47

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

8.7

Per game

0.79

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	TE61	0	0	0	0
2	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
4	0.0	TE54	0	0	0	0
7	0.0	TE53	0	0	0	0
8	0.0	TE48	1	0	0	0
9	0.0	TE54	0	0	0	0
10	0.0	TE54	0	0	0	0
12	6.8	TE9	2	2	8	1
13	0.8	TE49	1	1	8	0
14	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
16	1.1	TE47	2	1	11	0