Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Ameer Abdullah

JAX

RB114 · overall #380 · tier – · age 33

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Projected points

50

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

18–82

sd 32

Week

2.6

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.3
Carries / game
3.1
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
14
Rush TD / game
0.08
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.819
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.42
Flip edge
+0.19
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.42

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

29.9

Per game

2.30

17-gm pace

39

Best / worst

7.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
56.6RB322610000
62.1RB541701190
73.2RB4621901180
81.3RB572501130
91.0RB571301120
101.3RB560001180
120.0RB630001000
130.0RB740000000
141.9RB571402250
157.2RB34415055320
160.9RB720001140
170.9RB670001140
183.5RB5311022240