Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Amar Johnson

LAC

RB96 · overall #329 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

24

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

5–43

sd 19

Week

0.5

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
3.0
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
13
Rush TD / game
0.07
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.08
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.8
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.45
OL pass protection
+0.57
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SEA,DEN,KC
Window matchup
-1.17
Opponents after
LA,HOU
After matchup
-0.28
Flip edge
-0.89
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.11

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

1

Points

0.8

Per game

0.80

17-gm pace

14

Best / worst

0.8 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.8RB652801000