RB
Alvin Kamara
NORB46 · overall #145 · tier 8 · age 31
Projected points
87
6.8/gm
Value over replacement
-1
repl 110
Range
25–150
sd 62
Week
5.2
@ DET
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 42
- Carries
- 86
- Receptions
- 34
- Rec yards
- 235
- Rush yards
- 343
- Rush TD
- 2.3
- Rec TD
- 0.6
- Total TD
- 2.9
- Games projected
- 12.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.2
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 0.857
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.09
- OL pass protection
- +0.23
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.31
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.59
- Top player's share
- 44%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DET,BAL,LV
- Window matchup
- -0.30
- Opponents after
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- After matchup
- +0.35
- Flip edge
- -0.65
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.75
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
11
Points
67.7
Per game
6.15
17-gm pace
105
Best / worst
11.7 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11.7 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 21 | 99 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 18 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.2 | 15 | 70 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.5 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 6 | 7.6 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.9 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | 4.5 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 9 | -0.3 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | 11.5 | 22 | 83 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.5 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |