WR
Adonai Mitchell
NYJWR102 · overall #240 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
52
4.8/gm
Value over replacement
-29
repl 119
Range
9–94
sd 43
Week
2.9
@ CHI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.3
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 2.3
- Rec yards / game
- 30
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.12
- Total TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 10.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.7
- Games of history
- 33
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.17
- OL pass protection
- -0.10
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.43
- Scheme creativity
- -0.07
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 6.43
- Top player's share
- 22%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CHI,CLE,NE
- Window matchup
- +0.28
- Opponents after
- MIA,LV,KC
- After matchup
- +0.04
- Flip edge
- +0.24
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.07
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
54.9
Per game
3.43
17-gm pace
58
Best / worst
16.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.1 | WR79 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2.0 | WR91 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | WR120 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.6 | WR30 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | WR100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.8 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.0 | WR93 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.7 | WR88 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.0 | WR90 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.2 | WR44 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 16.2 | WR8 | 12 | 8 | 102 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.4 | WR59 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 11.4 | WR17 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| 16 | 4.3 | WR49 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.2 | WR71 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | WR108 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |