Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Adam Randall

BALROOKIE R5

RB135 · overall #611 · tier

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Projected points

12

0.8/gm

Value over replacement

-90

repl 110

Range

0–30

sd 18

Week

0.8

@ IND

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.2
Carries / game
0.9
Receptions / game
0.2
Rec yards / game
1
Rush yards / game
4
Rush TD / game
0.03
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.04
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.40
OL pass protection
-0.27
OL continuity
58%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
55
Effective contributors
1.57
Top player's share
78%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.64

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
IND,NO,DAL
Window matchup
+1.11
Opponents after
TEN,ATL,CLE
After matchup
+0.17
Flip edge
+0.94
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.28

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Adam Randall — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.