TE
AJ Barner
SEATE32 · overall #193 · tier 6 · age 24
Projected points
96
6.3/gm
Value over replacement
-10
repl 112
Range
67–125
sd 29
Week
6.5
vs LAC
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.0
- Carries / game
- 0.3
- Receptions / game
- 3.0
- Rec yards / game
- 29
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.02
- Rec TD / game
- 0.31
- Total TD / game
- 0.33
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.5
- Games of history
- 32
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.2
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.01
- OL pass protection
- +0.28
- OL continuity
- 99%
- 2TE rate
- 34%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 50%
- Run friendly
- +0.17
- Scheme creativity
- -0.21
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 16
- Effective contributors
- 1.94
- Top player's share
- 67%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.32
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LAC,SF,DEN
- Window matchup
- +0.07
- Opponents after
- KC,CHI,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.41
- Flip edge
- -0.34
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.66
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
95.3
Per game
5.61
17-gm pace
95
Best / worst
17.3 / 0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2 | TE57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.8 | TE4 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| 3 | 2.3 | TE31 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 4 | 9.2 | TE9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| 5 | 17.3 | TE1 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 2 |
| 6 | 7.1 | TE15 | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.9 | TE41 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 9 | 8.5 | TE13 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.3 | TE52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 7.1 | TE8 | 11 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.8 | TE34 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 | 3.7 | TE22 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.7 | TE21 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.7 | TE29 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 | 11.0 | TE5 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 1 |
| 17 | 10.3 | TE8 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1 |
| 18 | 1.4 | TE39 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |