A.J. Brown

New team at 29 with the age curve down at 0.88, and I still raised him to WR11. 8.3 targets across 15.5 games is the most dependable volume in this range.

GAMES CLAIM, 16 Sep: he is on IR. The row above was a market-matching call from 6 Aug (raised WR17 -> WR9, level with ADP 9 and Sleeper 7), re-priced 3 Sep, and its own text said 'unchanged in substance since it was written' -- which by 16 Sep was false. It stated a season total with NO games value, so split_override gave games first claim and restored them from the 0.15 injury multiplier's ~2.4 all the way to 12.6, then put the remainder into the rate. That produced WR5 at 15.68/g and the 5th-highest VOR of any receiver in the league FOR A PLAYER ON INJURED RESERVE. Now written as both factors: 10.0 games (missing about six, Matt's read) at 12.50/g, which is the rate the previous version argued for (12.28) and below his own 13.47 career half-PPR rate. Writing the games directly also clears injury_games_mult, so the total can no longer be spent on undoing his injury. The WEEKLY board was always right about him -- play_prob 0.00, WR239 -- this only ever affected the season, dynasty and ROS views.

This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.