TE
Zaire Mitchell-Paden
HOUTE102 · overall #491 · tier – · age 27
Projected points
15
1.3/gm
Value over replacement
-68
repl 112
Range
10–20
sd 5
Week
0.4
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 12
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 9
- Rec yards
- 80
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 0.5
- Games projected
- 11.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.2
- Games of history
- 3
- Age multiplier
- 1.010
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.37
- OL pass protection
- -1.19
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 76%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 3
- Effective contributors
- 1.47
- Top player's share
- 82%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.16
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DAL,TEN,JAX
- Window matchup
- +0.19
- Opponents after
- NYG,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.26
- Flip edge
- +0.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.87
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
1.7
Per game
0.57
17-gm pace
10
Best / worst
1.4 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.0 | TE57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | TE54 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.4 | TE38 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |