Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Zach Wilson

NO

QB37 · overall #368 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

67

8.9/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 250

Range

25–108

sd 41

Week

1.9

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
162
Pass yards
1122
Pass TD
6.3
Carries
12
Rush yards
62
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
7.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.0
Games of history
25
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.03
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

4

Points

1.4

Per game

0.35

17-gm pace

6

Best / worst

1.6 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
11.6QB33583200130
80.0QB3211000000
14-0.2QB33000002-20
180.0QB4002000000