Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Xavier Weaver

ARI

WR151 · overall #358 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

20

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-49

repl 119

Range

8–33

sd 13

Week

0.5

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
17
Carries
1
Receptions
10
Rec yards
120
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.6
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
88
Effective contributors
3.31
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.14
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.27
Flip edge
+0.42
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.38

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

7

Points

13.7

Per game

1.96

17-gm pace

33

Best / worst

4.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
40.0WR114100000
70.0WR103000000
113.5WR713215000
121.9WR85319000
130.0WR109100000
163.9WR822219000
174.4WR723224000