Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Xavier Legette

CAR

WR86 · overall #198 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

66

6.3/gm

Value over replacement

-12

repl 119

Range

16–115

sd 50

Week

2.3

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
51
Carries
4
Receptions
30
Rec yards
349
Rush yards
16
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.5
Total TD
2.5
Games projected
10.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.7
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.33
OL pass protection
+0.21
OL continuity
71%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.79
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DET,PHI
Window matchup
-0.41
Opponents after
TB,GB,DEN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
+0.08
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.55

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

54.3

Per game

3.62

17-gm pace

62

Best / worst

15.2 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.0WR977310000
2-0.2WR14681-2010
59.1WR253231100
61.1WR852211000
715.2WR1111992100
81.7WR733217000
92.2WR653122000
100.0WR93100000
1114.3WR88483100
122.2WR645322000
130.1WR107211000
153.9WR563239000
161.2WR953112000
170.3WR116113000
182.2WR644322000