RB
Woody Marks
HOURB52 · overall #190 · tier 8 · age 25
Projected points
79
5.5/gm
Value over replacement
-19
repl 110
Range
34–125
sd 46
Week
5.0
vs BUF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 27
- Carries
- 101
- Receptions
- 20
- Rec yards
- 144
- Rush yards
- 373
- Rush TD
- 2.1
- Rec TD
- 1.0
- Total TD
- 3.1
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.1
- Games of history
- 16
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.37
- OL pass protection
- -1.17
- OL continuity
- 70%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 76%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.37
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 54
- Effective contributors
- 2.86
- Top player's share
- 49%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.63
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BUF,CIN,IND
- Window matchup
- +0.55
- Opponents after
- DAL,TEN,JAX
- After matchup
- +0.04
- Flip edge
- +0.51
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.62
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
16
Points
145.1
Per game
9.07
17-gm pace
154
Best / worst
27.9 / 0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | 27.9 | 17 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 1 |
| 5 | 2.4 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 12.5 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
| 8 | 15.1 | 11 | 62 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.7 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 16.1 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.1 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.9 | 16 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 13 | 7.7 | 19 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | 15.6 | 26 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | 4.8 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.5 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.8 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |