Will Shipley

PHI

RB136 · overall #523 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-74

repl 116

Range

14–38

sd 12

Week

1.9

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 10
Carries: 36
Receptions: 8
Rec yards: 55
Rush yards: 138
Rush TD: 0.4
Rec TD: 0.0
Total TD: 0.4
Games projected: 13.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.2
Games of history: 27
Age multiplier: 1.022
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.8
Projected plays / game: 61.3
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +1.28
OL pass protection: +1.10
OL continuity: 81%
2TE rate: 36%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 43%
Run friendly: +0.90
Scheme creativity: +0.20
Play action / motion: 23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 14
Effective contributors: 1.61
Top player's share: 77%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup: +0.05
Opponents after: DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup: +1.42
Flip edge: -1.36
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.29

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

15.0

Per game

1.07

17-gm pace

Best / worst

4.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	2.6	RB47	3	26	0	0	0
4	0.0	RB74	0	0	1	0	0
5	0.9	RB65	1	0	2	1	4
6	0.0	RB69	0	0	0	0	0
7	1.2	RB61	0	0	1	1	7
8	0.2	RB66	3	2	0	0	0
10	4.4	RB42	4	17	2	2	17
12	0.0	RB63	0	0	0	0	0
13	1.6	RB65	0	0	1	1	11
14	0.8	RB63	0	0	1	1	3
15	0.0	RB80	0	0	0	0	0
16	0.8	RB74	0	0	1	1	3
17	0.2	RB77	2	2	0	0	0
18	2.3	RB61	1	2	3	2	11