WR
Van Jefferson
WASWR188 · overall #441 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
48
3.3/gm
Value over replacement
-61
repl 119
Range
17–78
sd 31
Week
1.3
vs IND
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 40
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 23
- Rec yards
- 277
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.5
- Total TD
- 1.5
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 0.845
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.84
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.16
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.70
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- IND,NYG,SF
- Window matchup
- -0.05
- Opponents after
- PHI,LA
- After matchup
- -0.59
- Flip edge
- +0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.41
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
41.0
Per game
2.93
17-gm pace
50
Best / worst
8.2 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0 | WR104 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.8 | WR100 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.6 | WR107 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 7.5 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.1 | WR48 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.6 | WR85 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.1 | WR67 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 8.2 | WR20 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.1 | WR78 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.0 | WR75 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.7 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.3 | WR52 | 5 | 1 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.4 | WR76 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |