Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Van Jefferson

WAS

WR188 · overall #441 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

48

3.3/gm

Value over replacement

-61

repl 119

Range

17–78

sd 31

Week

1.3

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
40
Carries
0
Receptions
23
Rec yards
277
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.5
Total TD
1.5
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
53
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

14

Points

70.0

Per game

5.00

17-gm pace

85

Best / worst

11.5 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
23.0WR972210000
31.8WR107118000
41.6WR105116000
611.5WR266475000
78.1WR404441000
81.6WR85816000
93.1WR734121000
1111.2WR247322100
122.1WR821111000
135.0WR634320000
143.7WR684217000
155.3WR695143000
164.4WR782224000
177.6WR483346000