Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB99 · overall #333 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

0–128

sd 67

Week

1.6

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
61
Receptions
21
Rec yards
154
Rush yards
260
Rush TD
1.5
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.0
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.73
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.60
Flip edge
+1.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

160.8

Per game

10.72

17-gm pace

182

Best / worst

27.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.5RB381024052110
29.1RB34515054360
35.6RB4572903270
60.6RB654600000
710.6RB2194610000
87.3RB321039032140
96.7RB34518043190
108.1RB34147102100
1117.9RB131988044510
1216.0RB122062043680
134.3RB571036011-30
1524.7RB51570143271
169.8RB32167102270
176.7RB351462021-50
1827.9RB218103098561