Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB45 · overall #171 · tier 8 · age 26

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Projected points

88

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 110

Range

22–155

sd 67

Week

6.0

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
38
Carries
92
Receptions
29
Rec yards
210
Rush yards
392
Rush TD
2.3
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
3.1
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.24
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.12
Flip edge
-0.89
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.39

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

142.8

Per game

9.52

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

23.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.51024052110
27.1515054360
34.672903270
60.64600000
710.694610000
86.31039032140
95.2518043190
107.6147102100
1115.91988044510
1214.52062043680
133.81036011-30
1523.21570143271
168.8167102270
176.21462021-50
1823.918103098561