Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Tyquan Thornton

KC

WR107 · overall #247 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

57

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-30

repl 119

Range

22–91

sd 35

Week

4.5

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
38
Carries
3
Receptions
21
Rec yards
302
Rush yards
27
Rush TD
0.4
Rec TD
1.9
Total TD
2.2
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.7
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.80
Top player's share
25%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
+0.60
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

61.8

Per game

5.15

17-gm pace

88

Best / worst

13.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.1WR524241000
211.9WR195259100
313.1WR119571100
47.1WR332111100
59.0WR265390000
73.9WR512139000
90.0WR96100000
116.1WR292161000
120.0WR97100000
130.0WR108000000
141.9WR693219000
154.7WR503247000