Tyler Shough

QB15 · overall #120 · tier 4 · age 27

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Projected points

212

16.3/gm

Value over replacement

repl 250

Range

177–248

sd 35

Week

20.8

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Pass attempts: 432
Pass yards: 3067
Pass TD: 18.3
Carries: 53
Rush yards: 211
Rush TD: 2.3
Games projected: 13.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 14.1
Games of history: 11
Age multiplier: 1.025
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 31.6
Projected plays / game: 62.8
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -0.21
OL pass protection: +0.11
OL continuity: 76%
2TE rate: 25%
3WR rate: 69%
1st-down pass rate: 47%
Run friendly: -0.26
Scheme creativity: -0.29
Play action / motion: 19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 24
Effective contributors: –
Top player's share: –
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup: -0.03
Opponents after: PIT,CLE
After matchup: +0.08
Flip edge: -0.12
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 8
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.57

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

158.0

Per game

14.36

17-gm pace

244

Best / worst

21.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Cmp	Att	Pa Yds	Pa TD	INT	Ru Att	Ru Yds	Ru TD
3	0.0	QB38	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	4.3	QB25	17	30	128	0	1	3	12	0
9	9.2	QB23	15	24	176	1	1	1	2	0
10	19.0	QB11	19	27	282	2	0	4	-3	0
12	7.9	QB22	30	43	243	0	1	7	22	0
13	17.4	QB12	26	38	239	2	1	6	18	0
14	21.3	QB6	13	20	144	0	1	7	55	2
15	18.1	QB16	24	32	272	1	0	8	32	0
16	17.1	QB15	32	49	308	1	0	2	8	0
17	21.9	QB9	22	27	333	2	0	4	6	0
18	21.8	QB5	23	35	259	1	1	3	34	1