Tyler Goodson

DAL

RB80 · overall #283 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-36

repl 116

Range

27–72

sd 23

Week

2.5

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 13
Carries: 65
Receptions: 10
Rec yards: 60
Rush yards: 287
Rush TD: 1.1
Rec TD: 0.4
Total TD: 1.4
Games projected: 11.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.8
Games of history: 30
Age multiplier: 1.000
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 31.0
Projected plays / game: 64.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.24
OL pass protection: +0.09
OL continuity: 86%
2TE rate: 20%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.93
Scheme creativity: -0.33
Play action / motion: 22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 36
Effective contributors: 2.15
Top player's share: 66%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup: -0.09
Opponents after: PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup: +0.38
Flip edge: -0.47
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.44

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

5.2

Per game

0.52

17-gm pace

Best / worst

1.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
3	0.6	RB71	2	6	0	0	0
4	1.0	RB67	0	0	1	1	0
8	0.2	RB66	2	2	0	0	0
9	1.8	RB55	0	0	2	1	8
10	0.4	RB63	1	4	0	0	0
12	0.0	RB63	0	0	0	0	0
13	0.0	RB74	0	0	0	0	0
15	0.0	RB80	0	0	0	0	0
16	0.9	RB75	3	9	0	0	0
18	0.3	RB78	1	3	0	0	0