RB
Tyler Allgeier
ARIRB54 · overall #209 · tier 8 · age 26
Projected points
77
5.1/gm
Value over replacement
-27
repl 110
Range
19–135
sd 58
Week
4.2
@ LAC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 17
- Carries
- 101
- Receptions
- 15
- Rec yards
- 113
- Rush yards
- 408
- Rush TD
- 3.6
- Rec TD
- 0.3
- Total TD
- 3.9
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.3
- Games of history
- 67
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 61.8
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.66
- OL pass protection
- -0.78
- OL continuity
- 0%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.46
- Top player's share
- 32%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LAC,SEA,SF
- Window matchup
- -1.47
- Opponents after
- NYG,DET,LA
- After matchup
- -0.17
- Flip edge
- -1.29
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.16
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
116.0
Per game
6.82
17-gm pace
116
Best / worst
17.7 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.4 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 14.5 | 16 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 11.1 | 16 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 10.3 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.6 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8.4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 17.7 | 11 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 8.6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | 5.4 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | 12.5 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 | 7.7 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.8 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 7.8 | 16 | 79 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.3 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.4 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |