RB
Tyjae Spears
TENRB47 · overall #151 · tier 8 · age 25
Projected points
87
6.5/gm
Value over replacement
-5
repl 110
Range
45–129
sd 42
Week
5.6
vs NYJ
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 47
- Carries
- 72
- Receptions
- 37
- Rec yards
- 244
- Rush yards
- 274
- Rush TD
- 3.1
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 3.6
- Games projected
- 13.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.2
- Games of history
- 42
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.3
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.43
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 57
- Effective contributors
- 1.68
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYJ,PHI,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.12
- Opponents after
- BAL,HOU,IND
- After matchup
- -0.68
- Flip edge
- +0.80
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.55
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
13
Points
111.7
Per game
8.59
17-gm pace
146
Best / worst
21.5 / 1.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.4 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| 7 | 7.0 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 8 | 17.2 | 9 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 9.2 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 | 6.5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.4 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 | 6.7 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.6 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 21.5 | 13 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.7 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 0 |